Alternative World Scenarios for a New Order of Nations
Dr Charles W Taylor
Book by the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute
"This futures study has four objectives. The first is to establish a standard method for Department of the Army (DA) agencies to plan for the midrange to the long-range future through the use of an alternative scenario approach. The second is to describe four future alternative world scenarios (environments) that are plausible, realistic, and appropriate for Army and organizational planning into the 21st century. The third is to revise and update the scenarios to bring them into alignment both with world changes that have occurred since they were published and with the author's recent forecasts. The fourth objective is to adjust the forecasts inherent in the scenarios to accommodate plausible future environments."