Transnational Threats from the Middle East: Crying Wolf or Crying Havoc? Prof Anthony H Cordesman Monograph by the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute "There is no doubt that the Middle East can present significant potential threats to the West. The author of this monograph examines these threats in order to put them into perspective—to distinguish between “crying wolf” and “crying havoc.” After thorough analysis, he contends that the problems caused by narcotics and organized crime, immigration, terrorism, and weapons of mass destruction do not as yet require draconian action by the Western nations. However, he asserts that if the threats of Middle Eastern terrorism and proliferation were to be combined into super-terrorism, the result would create a new form of asymmetric warfare for which the West is singularly ill-prepared."

The Future U.S. Military Presence in Asia: Landpower and the Geostrategy of American Commitment Maj Gen Robert H Scales, Dr Larry M Wortzel Monograph by the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute "For more than 50 years, countries around the world have looked to the United States for international leadership. Most Asian governments welcome a U.S. presence in the region to help preserve security and stability. They know that an American presence does not mean an occupying force since, if asked, the United States leaves. These countries are reassured by a more or less continuous presence of U.S. forces in a way that the temporary passage or intervention of expeditionary forces will not accomplish."

Pacific Security Today: Overcoming the Hurdles Mr Thomas M Molino Book by the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute "Misperception and miscommunication adversely affect Asia-Pacific security, especially U.S.-Chinese relations. Long distances and cultural differences contribute to misperception and miscommunication between the United States and Asian countries. This problem has become particularly evident during the Asian economic crisis, reflecting both cultural and capital influences."

Colombia's Three Wars: U.S. Strategy at the Crossroads Dr Gabriel Marcella, Dr Donald E Schulz Monograph by the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute "Colombia is the most troubled country in the Western Hemisphere. Drug criminals, guerrillas, and paramilitary groups are feeding a spiral of violence that makes “colombianization” a metaphor for a failing state. This monograph, by Dr. Gabriel Marcella and Dr. Donald Schulz, addresses the strategic dimensions of the crisis. It argues that Colombia’s future deeply affects regional security and U.S. interests."

Landpower and Ambiguous Warfare: The Challenge of Colombia in the 21st Century Dr Richard Downes Monograph by the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute "On December 10 and 11, 1998, over 100 scholars, civilian government officials, and military officers from the United States, Colombia, Venezuela, Ecuador, Panama and Mexico gathered at the U.S. Army War College to discuss “Landpower and Ambiguous Warfare: The Challenge of Colombia in the 21st Century.” While the conference adopted no resolutions or conclusions, it provided a valuable forum for expressing widely differing viewpoints on critical components of Colombia’s security situation."

East Asia in Crisis: The Security Implications of the Collapse of Economic Institutions Dr Stephen J Blank Monograph by the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute "The financial crisis that began in Thailand in mid-1997 has now become a global one. It has consumed governments, upset defense planning and the regional standing of major powers in Asia, and is forcing us to rethink Asia’s entire past and future political trajectory. The security implications go beyond merely the crash of unsound financial systems. Governments have fallen across Asia and in Russia. Civil violence is currently taking place in Indonesia, a key Asian state. Defense research, development, and procurement have been postponed in most Asian countries. The crisis and its reverberations have shaken financial markets and governments as far away as Brazil."

Warriors in Peace Operations Dr Douglas V Johnson II Book by the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute "This collection of monographs has been assembled from the 42 Personal Experience Monographs written by the U.S. Army War College (USAWC) Class of 1998."

Technology and the 21st Century Battlefield: Recomplicating Moral Life for the Statesman and the Soldier COL Charles J Dunlap Jr Monograph by the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute "In this monograph, Air Force Colonel Charles Dunlap starts from the traditional American notion that technology might offer a way to decrease the horror and suffering of warfare. He points out that historically this assumption is flawed in that past technological advances, from gunpowder weapons to bombers, have only made warfare more—not less—bloody. With a relentless logic, Colonel Dunlap takes to task those who say that the Revolution in Military Affairs has the potential to make war less bloody."

Security Implications of the Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East Dr Sami G Hajjar Monograph by the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute "This monograph, by Dr. Sami Hajjar, addresses the important question of the security implications for the nations of the region of the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction in the Middle East. The Strategic Studies Institute is pleased to offer the monograph as a contribution to the national security debate on this important issue. The author offers a unique perspective based on extensive interviews that he conducted in the region, and makes specific policy recommendations for U.S. military and civilian decisionmakers."