Center for Strategic Leadership

How Will the Structure of Military Organizations Evolve as Artificial Intelligence Becomes More Sophisticated? Professor Kristan Wheaton Issue Paper by the US Army War College, Center for Strategic Leadership "Deploying AI on the battlefield will force militaries to reimagine how they organize and operate. The Industrial Age principles of structure, authority, and control heavily influence modern military units. In the Industrial Age, factories needed managers to coordinate production and workers to perform individual tasks. But in the fast-paced, dynamic world of twenty-first-century warfare, commanders need soldiers who can think on their feet, team with machines, and adapt their tactics accordingly. A study by Deloitte found AI has the potential to reshape every business process within an enterprise. As a result of this transformation, AI will probably also have a transformative impact on the military."

Strategic Cyberspace Operations Guide Benjamin C. Leitzel, Gregory D. Hillebrand "The U.S. Army War College, Center for Strategic Leadership, recently updated its Strategic Cyberspace Operations Guide. This publication provides a guide for U.S. Army War College students to understand cyberspace strategy, policy, and law as well as design, planning, and execution of cyberspace operations. It combines existing U.S. Government Unclassified and "Releasable to the Public" documents into a single, convenient guide..."

by team Pacific Warrior: LTC Lee Hemming (USMC), LTC Randy Paul Lefebvre, LTC Matthew "Kip" Marsh, COL John Cletus Paumier (USAR), Pratya "Lek" Siriwat; Publication by the US Army War College, Center for Strategic Leadership; This publication examines the impact of the Russo-Ukranian conflict on China’s military strategies, particularly concerning Taiwan. It highlights the increased risks of forced unification and the need for China to improve join training, doctrine, and modernization efforts. The report suggests that China is likely to draw lessons from Russia’s operational failures, focusing on enhancing its military capabilities while considering economic insulation from potential sanctions. Overall, the analysis provides insights into how the conflict might influence China’s approach to Taiwan, emphasizing strategic caution and calculated planning.

by Andrew Culbreath, John Hosey, Brennan Kemper, Michael Stevic, and Michael Wacker; Report from the US Army War College, Center for Strategic Leadership; In this authoritative report, Team Janus from the U.S. Army War College delves into the transformative technologies poised to redefine land warfare by 2045. Through rigorous analysis, the report identifies three pivotal concepts – Latent Variable Environment, Times as a Domain, and Symbiotic Warfare – that will shape military strategies amidst evolving geopolitical landscapes. These insights are drawn from extensive research, including expert interviews and open-source data, providing military professionals with a strategic framework to anticipate and counter emerging threats.

by BioThreat Forge: COL Dan Mitchell, COL Laura Porter, LTC Matt Rasmussen, LTC Timothy Harloff, and LTC Justin De Armond; Publication from the US Army War College, Center for Strategic Leadership; In Biothreat Assessment 2035, the student team BioThreat Forge examines the evolving landscape of biotechnology and its potential threats to U.S. national security by 2035. The report identifies key trends, including the convergence of digital technology and biotechnology, which may enable non-state actors and adversarial nations to exploit biological capabilities, posing significant risks to public health, infrastructure, and military operations.

by LTC Lee Hemming (USMC), LTC Randy Paul Lefebvre, LTC Matthew "Kip" Marsh, COL John Cletus Paumier (USAR), Pratya "Lek" Siriwat; Publication from the US Army War College, Center for Strategic Leadership; China’s Use of Landpower for Unification of Taiwan delves into China’s multifaceted strategy to unify Taiwan by 2049 through the lens of landpower. The document outlines three main strategies: unification by maneuver, leveraging geopolitical and economic influence to isolate Taiwan; unification by fires, preparing for potential military aggression; and unification by mistake, exploiting missteps by Taiwan or its allies. Each strategy reflects China’s long-term vision and military modernization efforts, emphasizing strategic patience and the use of time as a domain to achieve its objectives without immediate conflict.

by COL Troy Alexander, COL Greg Pavlichko, COL Anthony Pollio, LTC Patrick Hofmann, LTC Nicky Shadley; Publication from the US Army War College, Center for Strategic Leadership; This publication explores the transformative potential of Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs) and trust-enabling technologies by 2037, emphasizing their role in enhancing dynamic information sharing within Mission Partner Environments (MPE) amidst trust asymmetries. It outlines critical advancements in areas such as fully homomorphic encryption, culturally sensitive mixed reality, and augmented intelligence, which collectively aim to revoluntionize military operations and inter-agency collaboration through improved data security, real-time communication, and decision-making capabilities.

Publication from the US Army War College, Center for Strategic Leadership; In this comprehensive analysis, a team of U.S. Army War College students examines China’s strategic ambitions to become the world’s dominant power by 2049. The report delves into China’s multifaceted approach, highlighting its focus on economic growth, regional hegemony, and global influence through technological advancements and strategic partnerships. Despite China’s progress, the report identifies significant challenges, including internal security issues, economic vulnerabilities, and geopolitical tensions, which could impede its path to global supremacy. The study underscores the implications for the United States and its allies, emphasizing the need for strategic preparedness in response to China’s evolving global strategy.

Contested Deployment Bert B. Tussing, John Eric Powell, Benjamin C. Leitzel With James L. Boling, Jonathan M. Boling, John J. Borek, Charles P. Brady, John Bretthorst, Stephen W. Ladd, Steven E. Landis, Edmund “Beau” Riely, Arthur C. Roscoe, Brian D. Wisniewski Integrated Research Project by the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College Press, Center for Strategic Leadership "Early in academic year 2018, a group of US Army War College faculty and students came together in pursuit of an integrated research project devoted to an examination of contested deployment and the growing realization the US homeland can no longer be considered an inviolable zone in preparing for war. Expecting free movement of forces in mobilization, movement to ports of embarkation, and deployment against the nation’s adversaries is beneath reason. Two oceans and benevolent neighbors to the north and south can no longer be considered a significant buffer against internal and external enemies. Adversaries of the United States will seek to disrupt or disable the movement of its forces long before they can be placed in combat against foes overseas, and the nation must be prepared for this opposition."