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Feb. 27, 2025

Assessing the Zeitenwende: Implications for Germany, the United States, and Transatlantic Security

By John R. Deni and Jeffrey D. Rathke, Editors

Cover for Assessing the Zeitenwende: Implications for Germany, the United States, and Transatlantic SecurityJohn R. Deni and Jeffrey D. Rathke, Editors

The essays in this volume analyze Germany’s Zeitenwende, a pivotal shift in security policy triggered by Russia’s reinvasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Key topics include national security strategy, defense policy, energy policy, industrial strategy, and international relations with Russia, China, the United States, NATO, and the EU. Regarding strategy, Germany’s approach lacks focus, offering broad goals without addressing trade-offs or specific threats. On defense policy, the Zeitenwende marked a renewed commitment to defense spending, bolstered by a €100 billion modernization fund. But delays in procurement, operational shortcomings, and an underfunded long-term defense budget hinder Germany. Similar challenges affect the defense industry, despite increased spending and exports. In energy policy, Germany rapidly diversified energy sources and expanded its liquefied natural gas infrastructure to reduce its dependence on Russian gas. Still, achieving energy security, affordability, and sustainability remains complex. Internationally, Germany abandoned decades of Ostpolitik, prioritizing Ukraine over ties with Russia. Germany’s evolving China policy focuses on derisking and maintaining economic ties, raising questions about whether Berlin has reduced vulnerabilities. Though Washington supports Germany’s strategic shift, concerns remain about its sustainability, particularly in Germany’s NATO and EU commitments. Each chapter concludes by identifying the implications for the United States as well as the steps to overcome identified challenges.
 

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Keywords:
Germany, Zeitenwende, transatlantic relations, NATO, energy security, burden sharing, EU,
German-Russian relations, Ostpolitik, German-Chinese relations

Copyright
Chapter 1 - ©2025 John R. Deni. All rights reserved.
Chapter 2 - ©2025 Marina E. Henke. All rights reserved.
Chapter 3 - ©2025 John R. Deni. All rights reserved.
Chapter 4 - ©2025 Aylin Matlé. All rights reserved.
Chapter 5 - ©2025 Sophia Besch. All rights reserved.
Chapter 6 - ©2025 Tim Bosch. All rights reserved.
Chapter 7 - ©2025 Angela E. Stent. All rights reserved.
Chapter 8 - ©2025 Jeffrey D. Rathke and Theresa Luetkefend. All rights reserved.
Chapter 9 - ©2025 May-Britt U. Stumbaum and Sharon de Cet. All rights reserved.